Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Brewmaster
Dy · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
Earthshaker
Pyw · 2 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 2 games
Oracleoften banned
Dy · 2 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
ELeVeN · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
ELeVeN · 1 game
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
162 picks · 364 bans
Mars
161 picks · 287 bans
Earth Spirit
148 picks · 118 bans
Void Spirit
138 picks · 202 bans
Phoenix
125 picks · 143 bans
Nyx Assassin
108 picks · 366 bans
Keeper of the Light
107 picks · 195 bans
Rubick
102 picks · 56 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength61% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:22
Vici Gaming 48%Invictus Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 24:38.
Game 2prediction correct12:36
Vici Gaming 48%Invictus Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 32:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 52%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2