i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 22 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 21 game
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 21 game
Spectresignature
poyoyo · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 18 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Pyw · 17 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 17 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
439 picks · 176 bans
Mars
329 picks · 535 bans
Snapfire
326 picks · 186 bans
Ancient Apparition
315 picks · 479 bans
Puck
311 picks · 783 bans
Nyx Assassin
305 picks · 620 bans
Tiny
285 picks · 233 bans
Enchantress
283 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 39%
Hero pool strength57% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total76% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:19
Vici Gaming 76%Royal Never Give Up 24%
The model gave 76% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 36:21.
Game 2prediction correct31:12
Vici Gaming 76%Royal Never Give Up 24%
The model gave 76% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 28:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 76%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2