i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Grimstroke
Dy · 26 games
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 23 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 22 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 22 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Ori · 21 game
Dragon Knightsignature
Ori · 20 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
412 picks · 189 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 133 bans
Nyx Assassin
297 picks · 601 bans
Dragon Knight
280 picks · 360 bans
Mars
278 picks · 466 bans
Puck
278 picks · 617 bans
Winter Wyvern
265 picks · 243 bans
Lina
254 picks · 361 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total62% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:8
Vici Gaming 62%Royal Never Give Up 38%
The model gave 62% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 24:55.
Game 2prediction correct39:19
Vici Gaming 62%Royal Never Give Up 38%
The model gave 62% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 30:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 62%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2