Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team MagMaloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 16 games
Tidehuntersignature
ELeVeN · 15 games
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 14 games
Lion
Pyw · 12 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
poyoyo · 11 games
Weaversignature
Pyw · 11 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 10 games
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
371 picks · 546 bans
Bane
342 picks · 263 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
326 picks · 713 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 754 bans
Tidehunter
244 picks · 383 bans
Disruptor
242 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
234 picks · 333 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total54% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:13
Vici Gaming 54%Team MagMa 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 36:25.
Game 2prediction missed8:26
Vici Gaming 54%Team MagMa 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 31:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2