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ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Resiliencewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 17 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tinysignature
pLAnet · 13 games
62%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
shiro · 12 games
33%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
pLAnet · 11 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 10 games
30%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
XinQ · 10 games
60%

Team Resilience

Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 4 games
75%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
poyoyo · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
zzq · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
poyoyo · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
pLAnet · 2 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
517 picks · 427 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
475 picks · 249 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 533 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
462 picks · 355 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
417 picks · 356 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
359 picks · 804 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
354 picks · 857 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
349 picks · 204 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Team Resilience
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total89% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
Vici Gaming 74%Team Resilience 26%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 41:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperXm
49% · 41 game45% · 143 games
Muertapoyoyo
Muerta
Tiny
Tinyshiro
47% · 323 games52% · 119 games
KunkkaEcho
Kunkka
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFaith_bian
54% · 74 games52% · 132 games
Underlordniu
Underlord
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeXinQ
52% · 61 game44% · 109 games
RubickpLAnet
Rubick
Silencer
Silencery`
49% · 83 games59% · 79 games
Treant Protectorzzq
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed0:0
Vici Gaming 74%Team Resilience 26%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 28:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingshiro
52% · 179 games53% · 82 games
Kezpoyoyo
Kez
Necrophos
NecrophosFaith_bian
45% · 12 games49% · 208 games
Bristlebackniu
Bristleback
Void Spirit
Void SpiritXm
51% · 395 games49% · 494 games
PuckEcho
Puck
Silencer
Silencery`
47% · 117 games51% · 86 games
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
Keeper of the Light
Windranger
WindrangerXinQ
51% · 175 games38% · 8 games
Winter Wyvernzzq
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 89%
Series resultTeam Resilience 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2