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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 33 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 25 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 22 games
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
37%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 16 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
y` · 15 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 15 games
73%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 26 games
73%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 24 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
82%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 20 games
85%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 19 games
47%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
563 picks · 400 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
468 picks · 276 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
394 picks · 385 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
345 picks · 635 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
345 picks · 472 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
331 picks · 234 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
320 picks · 277 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 455 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 66%
Hero pool strength60% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:36
Vici Gaming 38%Team Yandex 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 35:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinyshiro
46% · 291 game51% · 211 games
KezWatson
Kez
Doom
DoomFaith_bian
53% · 156 games57% · 159 games
Nature's ProphetSaksa
Nature's Prophet
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritXm
47% · 279 games53% · 179 games
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
Monkey King
Mirana
MiranaXinQ
53% · 37 games45% · 254 games
AxeDM
Axe
Undying
Undyingy`
48% · 116 games50% · 76 games
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct3:23
Vici Gaming 37%Team Yandex 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 18:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone Druidshiro
58% · 71 game61% · 32 games
EarthshakerChira JUNIOR
Earthshaker
Largo
LargoFaith_bian
57% · 196 games45% · 211 games
TinyWatson
Tiny
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritXm
51% · 71 game50% · 46 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Dark Willow
Dark WillowXinQ
40% · 148 games51% · 200 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maideny`
45% · 37 games49% · 34 games
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 73%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2