?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 17 games
65%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Xm · 16 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
shiro · 15 games
40%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
pLAnet · 11 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 11 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 10 games
30%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
XinQ · 10 games
60%

Yakult Brothers

Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 21 game
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 19 games
37%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 18 games
28%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 18 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moon · 17 games
29%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 16 games
38%
Weaver
Weaversignature
flyfly · 16 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
514 picks · 421 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
478 picks · 539 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
477 picks · 254 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 356 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
413 picks · 357 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
361 picks · 811 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 863 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
348 picks · 203 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total83% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:9
Vici Gaming 69%Yakult Brothers 31%
The model gave 69% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterXm
50% · 440 games47% · 354 games
Tinylou
Tiny
Kez
Kezshiro
57% · 183 games44% · 269 games
Queen of PainMoon
Queen of Pain
Pangolier
PangolierFaith_bian
49% · 402 games55% · 199 games
TidehunterJT-
Tidehunter
Muerta
MuertaXinQ
47% · 275 games50% · 256 games
Phoenix天命
Phoenix
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyverny`
55% · 28 games48% · 250 games
RingmasterBoBoKa
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed6:24
Vici Gaming 71%Yakult Brothers 29%
The model gave 71% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 47:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
Muertashiro
51% · 162 games48% · 406 games
BeastmasterJT-
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
48% · 274 games47% · 70 games
Alchemistlou
Alchemist
Underlord
UnderlordFaith_bian
52% · 194 games47% · 56 games
Death ProphetMoon
Death Prophet
Largo
LargoXinQ
56% · 86 games51% · 101 game
Silencer天命
Silencer
Warlock
Warlocky`
48% · 288 games53% · 371 game
HoodwinkBoBoKa
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction correct33:31
Vici Gaming 68%Yakult Brothers 32%
The model gave 68% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:07:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangershiro
41% · 236 games58% · 39 games
SniperMoon
Sniper
Puck
PuckXm
48% · 490 games45% · 374 games
Tinylou
Tiny
Timbersaw
TimbersawFaith_bian
53% · 274 games52% · 234 games
SlardarJT-
Slardar
Venomancer
Venomancery`
49% · 85 games57% · 238 games
Shadow DemonBoBoKa
Shadow Demon
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritXinQ
47% · 47 games53% · 247 games
Hoodwink天命
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 83%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3