Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Vicious Gamingwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SESavage Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vicious Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Savage Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
264 picks · 375 bans
Tidehunter
262 picks · 383 bans
Monkey King
258 picks · 608 bans
Bane
231 picks · 169 bans
Lina
216 picks · 466 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 259 bans
Lion
213 picks · 101 bans
Weaver
206 picks · 377 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Vicious Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Vicious Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVicious Gaming · 50%
Series resultVicious Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect