Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WWinwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vikings
Doomoften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 4 games
Snapfire
Atoufix · 4 games
Puckoften banned
MaTson · 3 games
Weaver
Nikobaby · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MaTson · 2 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
pieliedie · 2 games
Win
Slardaroften banned
egxrdemxn · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
iLTW · 2 games
Bane
Xakoda · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
Ancient Apparition
Xakoda · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
770 picks · 351 bans
Hoodwink
609 picks · 303 bans
Jakiro
596 picks · 545 bans
Dragon Knight
586 picks · 730 bans
Tusk
551 picks · 335 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 543 bans
Centaur Warrunner
510 picks · 597 bans
Mars
510 picks · 763 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 71%
Hero pool strength55% Win
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Win
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:44
Vikings 33%Win 67%
The model gave 67% on Win — the game was taken by Win in 28:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonNikobaby
Anti-MageiLTW
Ember SpiritMaTson
Iorostislav_999
DoomAdmiralBulldog
Night Stalkeregxrdemxn
Warlockpieliedie
PudgeOneJey
Shadow DemonAtoufix
BaneXakoda
Game 2prediction correct23:41
Vikings 33%Win 67%
The model gave 67% on Win — the game was taken by Win in 36:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordNikobaby
KeziLTW
Primal BeastMaTson
Storm Spiritrostislav_999
Dark SeerAdmiralBulldog
Beastmasteregxrdemxn
RingmasterAtoufix
JakiroXakoda
Enchantresspieliedie
GrimstrokeOneJey
Model check result
Model favoriteWin · 80%
Series resultWin 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2