Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Jakiro
Fly · 30 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Abed · 20 games
Tiny
Hellscream · 20 games
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
Void Spirit
Abed · 19 games
Tidehunteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 17 games
1w Team
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 27 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
Tusksignature
swedenstrong · 25 games
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
Slardarsignature
мистер мораль · 21 game
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
617 picks · 439 bans
Rubick
556 picks · 321 bans
Pangolier
413 picks · 593 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 374 bans
Phoenix
387 picks · 437 bans
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 493 bans
Storm Spirit
331 picks · 376 bans
Clockwerk
329 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% 1w Team
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total72% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:44
Virtus.pro 38%1w Team 62%
The model gave 62% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 57:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinTimado
Nature's Prophetbzm
Dark SeerSabeRLight-
KezPure~
Storm SpiritAbed
Centaur Warrunner33
Earth SpiritHellscream
WindrangerAri
ClockwerkFly
TuskWhitemon
Game 2prediction correct7:29
Virtus.pro 34%1w Team 66%
The model gave 66% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 27:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyTimado
Templar AssassinPure~
Earth SpiritAbed
Largo33
LycanSabeRLight-
Ember Spiritbzm
Winter WyvernFly
Keeper of the LightAri
Dark WillowHellscream
LichWhitemon
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 72%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2