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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASAKURAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Antares · 13 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Kiritych · 13 games
46%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Rein · 11 games
64%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Noticed · 10 games
80%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Antares · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 9 games
89%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 8 games
25%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Noticed · 7 games
86%

ASAKURA

Invoker
Invokeroften banned
young G · 5 games
80%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 4 games
75%
Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 4 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
333 · 3 games
33%
Lich
Lich
so bad · 3 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Palantimos · 3 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
4IVAN · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
439 picks · 355 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
406 picks · 544 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
366 picks · 464 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
364 picks · 191 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 588 bans
45%
Tusk
Tusk
350 picks · 372 bans
45%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
346 picks · 556 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
343 picks · 379 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:4
Virtus.pro 72%ASAKURA 28%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 25:26.
Game 2prediction correct37:17
Virtus.pro 72%ASAKURA 28%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 32:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 72%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2