Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 16 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
krylat · 15 games
Enchantressoften banned
Fng · 14 games
Beastmastersignature
Noticed · 13 games
Clockwerksignature
sayuw · 11 games
Miranasignature
sayuw · 11 games
Tiny
sayuw · 11 games
Hoodwinksignature
sayuw · 10 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
640 picks · 690 bans
Rubick
484 picks · 323 bans
Doom
459 picks · 990 bans
Ember Spirit
396 picks · 854 bans
Batrider
392 picks · 936 bans
Void Spirit
391 picks · 353 bans
Beastmaster
380 picks · 1008 bans
Pugna
379 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 25%
Hero pool strength55% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:38
Virtus.pro 56%Entity 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Entity in 41:31.
Game 2prediction missed33:23
Virtus.pro 56%Entity 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Entity in 46:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 56%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2