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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Rein · 14 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
prblms · 13 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Kiritych · 13 games
46%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Rein · 13 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Noticed · 10 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 10 games
80%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 9 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Nande · 9 games
56%

HULIGANI

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
queezy · 27 games
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Panto · 22 games
45%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 20 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
v1olent- · 17 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 16 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Mirage · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
476 picks · 394 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
441 picks · 552 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
398 picks · 507 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
396 picks · 210 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
392 picks · 642 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
386 picks · 431 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 580 bans
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
349 picks · 893 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 39%
Hero pool strength51% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total62% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:21
Virtus.pro 58%HULIGANI 42%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinNande
51% · 33 games53% · 22 games
Bloodseekerv1olent-
Bloodseeker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSquad1x
45% · 149 games51% · 199 games
MagnusMirage
Magnus
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNoticed
46% · 215 games53% · 157 games
DawnbreakerAlberkaaa
Dawnbreaker
Enchantress
EnchantressRein
48% · 244 games57% · 199 games
Nyx Assassinqueezy
Nyx Assassin
Batrider
Batriderprblms
45% · 271 game53% · 335 games
PhoenixRESPECT
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed6:28
Virtus.pro 56%HULIGANI 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 21:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNande
45% · 176 games58% · 93 games
Lifestealerv1olent-
Lifestealer
Earthshaker
EarthshakerSquad1x
45% · 88 games54% · 330 games
TinyMirage
Tiny
Axe
AxeNoticed
44% · 59 games55% · 134 games
MagnusAlberkaaa
Magnus
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkprblms
41% · 335 games59% · 137 games
ChenRESPECT
Chen
Enchantress
EnchantressRein
48% · 234 games52% · 198 games
Dark Willowqueezy
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 62%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2