?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE Universe: Episode 6 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
V-Tune · 28 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 23 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Daxak · 22 games
50%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Rein · 21 game
57%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Daxak · 20 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 17 games
65%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Antares · 17 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 16 games
44%

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 35 games
74%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 28 games
68%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 25 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 24 games
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
75%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
DM · 22 games
77%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 21 game
81%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
546 picks · 572 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
384 picks · 227 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
372 picks · 422 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
332 picks · 489 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
329 picks · 325 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
328 picks · 864 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
314 picks · 878 bans
59%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
312 picks · 675 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 67%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:46
Virtus.pro 21%PARIVISION 79%
The model gave 79% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 46:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaV-Tune
51% · 138 games55% · 266 games
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
Storm Spirit
Bristleback
BristlebackDaxak
54% · 233 games48% · 158 games
Templar AssassinSatanic
Templar Assassin
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSerenada
54% · 131 game52% · 48 games
DazzleDM
Dazzle
Snapfire
SnapfireOneJey
43% · 76 games46% · 148 games
Marci9Class
Marci
Disruptor
DisruptorPuppey
47% · 79 games45% · 37 games
ZeusDukalis
Zeus
Game 2prediction correct15:35
Virtus.pro 22%PARIVISION 78%
The model gave 78% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 33:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenV-Tune
53% · 109 games58% · 31 game
Faceless VoidSatanic
Faceless Void
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSerenada
47% · 233 games44% · 404 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerDaxak
46% · 122 games49% · 52 games
BrewmasterDM
Brewmaster
Batrider
BatriderPuppey
53% · 181 game51% · 77 games
SilencerDukalis
Silencer
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeOneJey
58% · 30 games51% · 111 games
Ringmaster9Class
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 92%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2