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FISSURE Universe: Episode 7 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
V-Tune · 30 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 28 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 23 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Daxak · 22 games
55%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Rein · 21 game
57%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Antares · 21 game
81%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 20 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 18 games
44%

Team Yandex

Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 12 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 10 games
40%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TA2000 · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
TA2000 · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
prblms · 7 games
29%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Noticed · 7 games
86%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
prblms · 7 games
43%
Bane
Bane
prblms · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
479 picks · 250 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
466 picks · 457 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
358 picks · 961 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
326 picks · 371 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
305 picks · 150 bans
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
292 picks · 476 bans
56%
Batrider
Batrider
290 picks · 632 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
290 picks · 224 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:38
Virtus.pro 59%Team Yandex 41%
The model gave 59% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 57:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidTimado
60% · 54 games47% · 245 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Bristleback
BristlebackDaxak
56% · 359 games53% · 234 games
EarthshakerChira JUNIOR
Earthshaker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAbed
53% · 398 games41% · 430 games
PangolierNoticed
Pangolier
Snapfire
SnapfireFly
51% · 285 games49% · 211 games
EnchantressMalady
Enchantress
Batrider
BatriderAntares
50% · 340 games44% · 316 games
Hoodwinkprblms
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed17:33
Virtus.pro 56%Team Yandex 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 38:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeTimado
48% · 188 games51% · 234 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAbed
50% · 190 games53% · 161 game
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDaxak
44% · 110 games45% · 211 games
MarsNoticed
Mars
Snapfire
SnapfireAntares
46% · 196 games61% · 182 games
Naga SirenMalady
Naga Siren
Enchantress
EnchantressFly
50% · 156 games53% · 52 games
Pudgeprblms
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 61%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2