BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
X3loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Tiny
yamich · 21 game
Disruptor
Xakoda · 14 games
Marcisignature
yamich · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 13 games
Linasignature
gpK~ · 13 games
Rubick
sayuw · 13 games
Skywrath Mage
Xakoda · 13 games
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 12 games
X3
Tiny
velheor · 22 games
Marcioften banned
velheor · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 21 game
Enigmaoften banned
Shergarat · 17 games
Hoodwink
alone · 17 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shergarat · 16 games
Tuskoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 16 games
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
425 picks · 429 bans
Rubick
408 picks · 277 bans
Tiny
404 picks · 387 bans
Mirana
309 picks · 314 bans
Treant Protector
272 picks · 319 bans
Snapfire
247 picks · 131 bans
Crystal Maiden
221 picks · 155 bans
Ember Spirit
221 picks · 590 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 61%
Hero pool strength50% X3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:9
Virtus.pro 55%X3 45%
The model gave 55% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 32:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of PainSquad1x
DoomShergarat
Nature's Prophetkrylat
Terrorbladenesfeer
SnapfireNoticed
BatriderNattyNarwhal
Tinysayuw
Hoodwinkalone
OracleDukalis
Treant Protectordark
Game 2prediction correct31:15
Virtus.pro 55%X3 45%
The model gave 55% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 33:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Linakrylat
Ember SpiritNattyNarwhal
Dragon KnightNoticed
Drow Rangernesfeer
PangolierSquad1x
EnigmaShergarat
Snapfiresayuw
Tinyalone
ClockwerkDukalis
Undyingdark
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 58%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2