BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 1:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Fng · 13 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
Skywrath Magesignature
sayuw · 9 games
Spectresignature
Kiritych · 9 games
Tinysignature
Squad1x · 9 games
Yellow Submarine
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
Tusk
aik · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 9 games
Muertaoften banned
rue · 8 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 8 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
aik · 8 games
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
252 picks · 427 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
216 picks · 348 bans
Tusk
204 picks · 190 bans
Dark Willow
203 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 276 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength61% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:19
Virtus.pro 67%Yellow Submarine 33%
The model gave 67% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 36:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaKiritych
Templar AssassinSatanic
WindrangerSquad1x
Pangoliererase
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
TimbersawpJonn
UndyingFng
Shadow Demonrue
Batridersayuw
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 79%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1