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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. ЮВА. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Visionloss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
UD Vessuwanwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vision

No games played over 6 months.

UD Vessuwan

Rubick
Rubick
boombell · 20 games
35%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Beebie · 14 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
LionaX · 14 games
43%
Mirana
Mirana
LionaX · 13 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
Beebie · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
LionaX · 12 games
25%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
boombell · 11 games
36%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
LionaX · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
698 picks · 483 bans
48%
Techies
Techies
580 picks · 628 bans
55%
Doom
Doom
565 picks · 1102 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
546 picks · 502 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
533 picks · 1224 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
477 picks · 1043 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
462 picks · 679 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 916 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 41%
Hero pool strength55% Vision
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% UD Vessuwan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:15
Vision 46%UD Vessuwan 54%
The model gave 54% on UD Vessuwan — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 47:12.
Game 2prediction correct27:28
Vision 46%UD Vessuwan 54%
The model gave 54% on UD Vessuwan — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 44:23.
Game 3prediction correct26:20
Vision 46%UD Vessuwan 54%
The model gave 54% on UD Vessuwan — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 45:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteUD Vessuwan · 54%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3