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Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
VooDooSh Teamloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
By_Owl Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VooDooSh Team

Techies
Techies
Shishak · 6 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
VooDooSh · 5 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
VooDooSh · 3 games
33%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Shishak · 3 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mariachi · 3 games
67%
Warlock
Warlock
VooDooSh · 3 games
67%

By_Owl Team

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
by_Owl · 7 games
86%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
rostikfacekid · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
avice · 5 games
100%
Luna
Luna
Koma` · 5 games
80%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Koma` · 5 games
80%
Silencer
Silencer
by_Owl · 5 games
40%
Techies
Techies
rostikfacekid · 5 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
blindzone · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
617 picks · 442 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
577 picks · 331 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
420 picks · 615 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
407 picks · 456 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
400 picks · 366 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
333 picks · 375 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 490 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
313 picks · 957 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% VooDooSh Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:35
VooDooSh Team 52%By_Owl Team 48%
The model gave 52% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 45:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyMariachi
50% · 192 games68% · 11 games
Meepoavice
Meepo
Death Prophet
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
71% · 3 games52% · 31 game
NecrophosKoma`
Necrophos
Brewmaster
Brewmasterkolya_kaBAN68
47% · 44 games47% · 184 games
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
Centaur Warrunner
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeShishak
54% · 40 games49% · 80 games
Techiesrostikfacekid
Techies
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
58% · 67 games39% · 40 games
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed43:39
VooDooSh Team 52%By_Owl Team 48%
The model gave 52% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 1:08:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMariachi
51% · 231 game50% · 182 games
TerrorbladeKoma`
Terrorblade
Necrophos
Necrophosybicanoooobov
57% · 43 games44% · 307 games
Queen of Painavice
Queen of Pain
Tidehunter
Tidehunterkolya_kaBAN68
56% · 156 games53% · 179 games
Marciblindzone
Marci
Snapfire
SnapfireShishak
47% · 264 games47% · 102 games
Silencerby_Owl
Silencer
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
54% · 165 games44% · 89 games
Techiesrostikfacekid
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteVooDooSh Team · 52%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2