?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 33 · BO3
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigywin 2:0
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
armageddon · 7 games
14%
Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 6 games
17%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 3 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 3 games
33%
Marci
Marcioften banned
egx · 3 games
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 3 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
egx · 3 games
33%

Natus Vincere Junior

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 12 games
83%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gbc · 11 games
45%
Tiny
Tiny
Niku · 11 games
45%
Warlock
Warlock
Riddys · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Gothic- · 9 games
33%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 9 games
22%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Zayac · 8 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Hyugadoto · 8 games
13%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 362 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
582 picks · 300 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
570 picks · 573 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
509 picks · 354 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
498 picks · 599 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 273 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
476 picks · 750 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
431 picks · 495 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 26%
Hero pool strength56% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:16
VP.Prodigy 42%Natus Vincere Junior 58%
The model gave 58% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 35:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
Beastmastertakizawa
41% · 296 games52% · 408 games
BristlebackonLiTaL
Bristleback
Terrorblade
Terrorbladecutie
54% · 260 games54% · 139 games
Enigmakrol9ash
Enigma
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSerenada
53% · 212 games48% · 220 games
Slardargbc
Slardar
Ringmaster
Ringmasterraregods
51% · 201 game51% · 45 games
Spirit BreakerGothic-
Spirit Breaker
Enchantress
EnchantressJANTER
47% · 147 games49% · 304 games
SnapfireHyugadoto
Snapfire
Game 2prediction missed31:12
VP.Prodigy 42%Natus Vincere Junior 58%
The model gave 58% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 28:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddoncutie
49% · 316 games47% · 305 games
Puckgbc
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSerenada
48% · 409 games50% · 305 games
GyrocopteronLiTaL
Gyrocopter
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnertakizawa
50% · 334 games51% · 168 games
Tidehunterkrol9ash
Tidehunter
Chen
ChenJANTER
61% · 214 games49% · 373 games
TuskGothic-
Tusk
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageraregods
43% · 91 game51% · 213 games
RingmasterHyugadoto
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 64%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2