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Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigyloss 1:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yellow Submarinewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
armageddon · 7 games
14%
Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 6 games
17%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 4 games
25%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 3 games
33%
Marci
Marcioften banned
egx · 3 games
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 3 games
0%

Yellow Submarine

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 33 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 29 games
38%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 28 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 26 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Xakoda · 26 games
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
mrls · 25 games
48%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 23 games
30%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 22 games
41%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
772 picks · 358 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
578 picks · 300 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 561 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
521 picks · 369 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
502 picks · 609 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
483 picks · 281 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
466 picks · 745 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 502 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
VP.Prodigy 20%Yellow Submarine 80%
The model gave 80% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Game 2prediction missed
VP.Prodigy 20%Yellow Submarine 80%
The model gave 80% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Game 3prediction correct
VP.Prodigy 20%Yellow Submarine 80%
The model gave 80% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 80%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3