The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigywin 1:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:0
ZCZXC CRYSTALLIS CULTloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
VP.Prodigy
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
Ringmaster
raregods · 25 games
Tiny
raregods · 24 games
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 16 games
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 15 games
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 15 games
ZXC CRYSTALLIS CULT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
606 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
510 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
418 picks · 586 bans
Puck
342 picks · 948 bans
Tusk
337 picks · 278 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% VP.Prodigy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% VP.Prodigy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct59:11
VP.Prodigy 73%ZXC CRYSTALLIS CULT 27%
The model gave 73% on VP.Prodigy — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 19:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteVP.Prodigy · 73%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1