BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionWSWawitas Sagazeswin 1:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
55ratphylacteryloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wawitas Sagazes
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Panda · 8 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
Weaveroften banned
Lumière · 6 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 5 games
Necrophosoften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lumière · 5 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Panda · 5 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
5ratphylactery
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
249 picks · 421 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
213 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
194 picks · 267 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% 5ratphylactery
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Wawitas Sagazes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Wawitas Sagazes 77%5ratphylactery 23%
The model gave 77% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes.
Model check result
Model favoriteWawitas Sagazes · 77%
Series resultWawitas Sagazes 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1