FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWIWhite Icewin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BTBack to Lobbyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
White Ice
No games played over 6 months.
Back to Lobby
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
538 picks · 737 bans
Clockwerk
499 picks · 572 bans
Batrider
494 picks · 614 bans
Tiny
487 picks · 579 bans
Muerta
484 picks · 413 bans
Gyrocopter
449 picks · 803 bans
Magnus
449 picks · 985 bans
Lion
405 picks · 230 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% White Ice
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Back to Lobby
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:26
White Ice 49%Back to Lobby 51%
The model gave 51% on Back to Lobby — the game was taken by Back to Lobby in 24:46.
Game 2prediction correct35:47
White Ice 49%Back to Lobby 51%
The model gave 51% on Back to Lobby — the game was taken by Back to Lobby in 36:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteBack to Lobby · 51%
Series resultWhite Ice 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2