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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Tusk
Tusk
Bignum · 26 games
54%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
RCY · 24 games
58%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 23 games
39%
Tiny
Tiny
YamSun · 21 game
38%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 20 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 18 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%

BOOM Esports

Tiny
Tiny
Tims · 19 games
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
JaCkky · 16 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 14 games
64%
Mirana
Mirana
Jaunuel · 13 games
54%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Jaunuel · 12 games
42%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Armel · 11 games
36%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Jabz · 10 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Jabz · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
432 picks · 371 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
350 picks · 184 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
334 picks · 786 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
334 picks · 328 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
322 picks · 829 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
276 picks · 540 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
276 picks · 363 bans
51%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
272 picks · 623 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total78% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:23
Wildcard Gaming 37%BOOM Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYamSun
51% · 175 games49% · 134 games
Templar AssassinJaCkky
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
55% · 218 games49% · 73 games
Void SpiritArmel
Void Spirit
Lycan
LycanFayde
57% · 117 games47% · 209 games
DawnbreakerJabz
Dawnbreaker
Undying
UndyingSpeeed
52% · 117 games51% · 208 games
ClockwerkTims
Clockwerk
Snapfire
SnapfireBignum
47% · 127 games44% · 130 games
DisruptorJaunuel
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed46:15
Wildcard Gaming 33%BOOM Esports 67%
The model gave 67% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 58:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritRCY
48% · 339 games54% · 174 games
MedusaJaCkky
Medusa
Sven
SvenYamSun
52% · 196 games47% · 186 games
Queen of PainArmel
Queen of Pain
Night Stalker
Night StalkerFayde
50% · 101 game52% · 201 game
Dark SeerJabz
Dark Seer
Batrider
BatriderSpeeed
51% · 394 games51% · 411 games
TinyTims
Tiny
Disruptor
DisruptorBignum
45% · 141 game51% · 199 games
PugnaJaunuel
Pugna
Game 3prediction missed39:14
Wildcard Gaming 35%BOOM Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 1:01:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritRCY
56% · 104 games44% · 68 games
SvenJaCkky
Sven
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFayde
44% · 312 games45% · 106 games
TimbersawArmel
Timbersaw
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYamSun
59% · 39 games50% · 148 games
DoomJabz
Doom
Zeus
ZeusSpeeed
40% · 57 games55% · 131 game
PugnaJaunuel
Pugna
Disruptor
DisruptorBignum
50% · 122 games55% · 181 game
TinyTims
Tiny
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 78%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3