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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BSJ and friendsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 23 games
35%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 16 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 14 games
71%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
YamSun · 14 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 13 games
54%

BSJ and friends

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 601 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
470 picks · 237 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
467 picks · 433 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
370 picks · 767 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 506 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
340 picks · 788 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
325 picks · 295 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
310 picks · 96 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:7
Wildcard Gaming 69%BSJ and friends 31%
The model gave 69% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 40:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomYamSun
52% · 116 games52% · 88 games
AbaddonSammyboy
Abaddon
Lycan
LycanFayde
51% · 47 games42% · 93 games
Queen of PainiAnnihilate
Queen of Pain
Pangolier
PangolierRCY
51% · 201 game56% · 33 games
Death Prophetmonkeys-forever
Death Prophet
Rubick
RubickBignum
46% · 53 games50% · 216 games
MuertaNewsham
Muerta
Oracle
OracleSpeeed
56% · 13 games
Game 2prediction correct34:17
Wildcard Gaming 70%BSJ and friends 30%
The model gave 70% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 38:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomYamSun
48% · 179 games52% · 100 games
AbaddonSammyboy
Abaddon
Broodmother
BroodmotherFayde
49% · 60 games48% · 85 games
Brewmastermonkeys-forever
Brewmaster
Puck
PuckRCY
52% · 127 games51% · 385 games
TinyiAnnihilate
Tiny
Batrider
BatriderSpeeed
43% · 233 games52% · 154 games
RubickNewsham
Rubick
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanBignum
54% · 125 games
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 82%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2