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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Heroicwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 26 games
54%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 24 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 23 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 23 games
39%
Tiny
Tiny
YamSun · 21 game
38%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 19 games
47%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%
Bane
Bane
Bignum · 17 games
59%

Heroic

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 26 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
32%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
37%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 15 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 15 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
KJ · 15 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
4nalog · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
436 picks · 385 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
355 picks · 188 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
336 picks · 340 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 791 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
323 picks · 837 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
277 picks · 213 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
276 picks · 373 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 539 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Heroic
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total83% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:33
Wildcard Gaming 32%Heroic 68%
The model gave 68% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 36:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonYamSun
47% · 162 games51% · 386 games
GyrocopterYuma
Gyrocopter
Puck
PuckRCY
48% · 325 games59% · 175 games
EnigmaWisper
Enigma
Pangolier
PangolierFayde
41% · 379 games54% · 242 games
Earthshaker4nalog
Earthshaker
Batrider
BatriderSpeeed
53% · 334 games48% · 147 games
SilencerKJ
Silencer
Clockwerk
ClockwerkBignum
50% · 311 games48% · 561 game
TuskScofield
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct18:29
Wildcard Gaming 30%Heroic 70%
The model gave 70% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 34:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerRCY
45% · 250 games53% · 254 games
GyrocopterYuma
Gyrocopter
Doom
DoomYamSun
50% · 284 games51% · 159 games
Shadow Fiend4nalog
Shadow Fiend
Earthshaker
EarthshakerFayde
53% · 150 games56% · 128 games
EnigmaWisper
Enigma
Phoenix
PhoenixSpeeed
46% · 316 games49% · 319 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Disruptor
DisruptorBignum
48% · 104 games49% · 244 games
DawnbreakerKJ
Dawnbreaker
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 83%
Series resultHeroic 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2