BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sunlight · 5 games
Grimstroke
The Warden · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 8 games
Bane
Nuages · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
448 picks · 274 bans
Mars
432 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 459 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 742 bans
Sand King
330 picks · 460 bans
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 475 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 427 bans
Pangolier
288 picks · 431 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 33%
Hero pool strength60% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 65%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed