BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Lavaloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
450 picks · 537 bans
Mars
447 picks · 650 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 846 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 177 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 546 bans
Kunkka
336 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
275 picks · 313 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:39
Wildcard Gaming 54%Lava 46%
The model gave 54% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Lava in 58:05.
Game 2prediction missed43:13
Wildcard Gaming 54%Lava 46%
The model gave 54% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Lava in 33:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 54%
Accuracy by game0 of 2