European Pro League Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Level UPwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 25 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 22 games
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 22 games
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 21 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 19 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Level UP
Queen of Painoften banned
MaTson · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MaTson · 9 games
Leshrac
Atoufix · 8 games
Medusasignature
rubikon155 · 8 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Ankou · 7 games
Miranasignature
Ponlo · 7 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 7 games
Batridersignature
Atoufix · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
526 picks · 555 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 417 bans
Tusk
362 picks · 388 bans
Pangolier
342 picks · 512 bans
Dark Willow
316 picks · 197 bans
Terrorblade
316 picks · 710 bans
Nature's Prophet
308 picks · 574 bans
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 81%Level UP 19%
The model gave 81% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Level UP.
Game 2prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 81%Level UP 19%
The model gave 81% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 81%
Series resultLevel UP 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2