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CCT Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 24 games
38%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 18 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 16 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 16 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 15 games
67%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 29 games
41%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 21 game
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 19 games
26%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 18 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 16 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 15 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
561 picks · 616 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
481 picks · 240 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
460 picks · 432 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
393 picks · 814 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
364 picks · 544 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
357 picks · 817 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
353 picks · 319 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
351 picks · 405 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 37%
Hero pool strength55% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:22
Wildcard Gaming 71%Passion UA 29%
The model gave 71% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 37:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYamSun
49% · 177 games50% · 134 games
SvenCrystallize
Sven
Puck
PuckRCY
50% · 119 games44% · 40 games
LeshracMoonlight
Leshrac
Enigma
EnigmaFayde
59% · 102 games45% · 78 games
TidehunterBatyuk
Tidehunter
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSpeeed
53% · 91 game40% · 134 games
Snapfirekreker
Snapfire
Bane
BaneBignum
60% · 30 games52% · 133 games
Shadow ShamanQBFY
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct36:10
Wildcard Gaming 69%Passion UA 31%
The model gave 69% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 30:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Axe
AxeFayde
49% · 38 games43% · 111 games
Centaur WarrunnerBatyuk
Centaur Warrunner
Death Prophet
Death ProphetRCY
52% · 51 game45% · 133 games
MorphlingCrystallize
Morphling
Abaddon
AbaddonYamSun
46% · 101 game55% · 174 games
BatriderMoonlight
Batrider
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonBignum
52% · 266 games46% · 35 games
Oraclekreker
Oracle
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSpeeed
57% · 122 games52% · 125 games
GyrocopterQBFY
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 82%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2