BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
Team DogChamp
Hoodwinksignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
lukiluki · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 5 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Lion
yarintheslayer · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
537 picks · 388 bans
Mars
451 picks · 648 bans
Queen of Pain
448 picks · 543 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 848 bans
Snapfire
349 picks · 181 bans
Spirit Breaker
346 picks · 550 bans
Kunkka
339 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
276 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:18
Wildcard Gaming 43%Team DogChamp 57%
The model gave 57% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 28:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 57%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1