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BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
83%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
100%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
33%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
33%

The Cut

Mars
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Giant · 7 games
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
80%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
dnm · 3 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Giant · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
539 picks · 379 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
450 picks · 655 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
442 picks · 531 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
427 picks · 844 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
345 picks · 178 bans
44%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
339 picks · 537 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
334 picks · 538 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
275 picks · 310 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 75%
Hero pool strength54% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 58%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed