DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:0
TT Gameloss 0:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 15 games
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 11 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
YamSun · 11 games
Batridersignature
Bignum · 10 games
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 10 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 9 games
TT Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
536 picks · 746 bans
Muerta
437 picks · 318 bans
Phoenix
433 picks · 707 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 403 bans
Bristleback
390 picks · 882 bans
Phantom Assassin
388 picks · 687 bans
Magnus
386 picks · 1030 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 511 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% TT Game
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTT Game · 52%