Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionWWinwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TpaBoTeaMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Win
Slardaroften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
iLTW · 1 game
Ancient Apparition
Xakoda · 1 game
Bane
Xakoda · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Clockwerk
Xakoda · 1 game
Elder Titan
rostislav_999 · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 1 game
TpaBoTeaM
Dark Willow
Immersion · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
Disruptor
633 · 2 games
Pugna
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 2 games
Warlock
633 · 2 games
Ancient Apparition
633 · 1 game
Clockwerk
633 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
772 picks · 356 bans
Hoodwink
610 picks · 304 bans
Jakiro
593 picks · 537 bans
Dragon Knight
584 picks · 729 bans
Disruptor
551 picks · 543 bans
Tusk
548 picks · 334 bans
Mars
510 picks · 763 bans
Centaur Warrunner
509 picks · 593 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Win
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Win
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:10
Win 70%TpaBoTeaM 30%
The model gave 70% on Win — the game was taken by Win in 26:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmasteregxrdemxn
Kezbashka
Troll WarlordiLTW
OmniknightTpaBoMaH
Primal Beastrostislav_999
PudgeDkFogas
GrimstrokeOneJey
WindrangerImmersion
BaneXakoda
Pugna633
Game 2prediction correct46:20
Win 71%TpaBoTeaM 29%
The model gave 71% on Win — the game was taken by Win in 35:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddoniLTW
Kezbashka
Slardaregxrdemxn
PudgeDkFogas
Ember Spiritrostislav_999
OmniknightTpaBoMaH
RingmasterXakoda
Warlock633
Shadow DemonOneJey
LionImmersion
Model check result
Model favoriteWin · 85%
Series resultWin 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2