Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionWWinwin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vikingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Win
Bane
Xakoda · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 3 games
Slardaroften banned
egxrdemxn · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
iLTW · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
Grimstroke
OneJey · 2 games
Iooften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
Kezoften banned
iLTW · 2 games
Vikings
Doomsignature
AdmiralBulldog · 6 games
Ringmaster
Atoufix · 5 games
Snapfire
Atoufix · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 3 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
pieliedie · 3 games
Puckoften banned
MaTson · 3 games
Weaver
Nikobaby · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
760 picks · 351 bans
Hoodwink
606 picks · 303 bans
Jakiro
599 picks · 555 bans
Dragon Knight
586 picks · 733 bans
Tusk
552 picks · 333 bans
Disruptor
545 picks · 538 bans
Centaur Warrunner
514 picks · 603 bans
Mars
510 picks · 761 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Win
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total81% Win
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:24
Win 69%Vikings 31%
The model gave 69% on Win — the game was taken by Win in 34:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageiLTW
AbaddonNikobaby
Timbersawegxrdemxn
Primal BeastMaTson
Earth Spiritrostislav_999
DoomAdmiralBulldog
GrimstrokeOneJey
RingmasterAtoufix
BaneXakoda
Pugnapieliedie
Game 2prediction correct49:21
Win 69%Vikings 31%
The model gave 69% on Win — the game was taken by Win in 34:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaiLTW
GyrocopterNikobaby
Beastmasteregxrdemxn
SlardarMaTson
Phoenixrostislav_999
VenomancerAdmiralBulldog
PudgeOneJey
Jakiropieliedie
BaneXakoda
TinyAtoufix
Model check result
Model favoriteWin · 81%
Series resultWin 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2