Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Wind and Rainloss 0:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Electronic Boyswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wind and Rain
Tusk
Steelborco · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sword · 1 game
Grimstroke
yol · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Sword · 1 game
Oracleoften banned
yol · 1 game
Electronic Boys
Witch Doctor
albinozebra · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
red2 · 3 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
Speeed · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
435 picks · 982 bans
Void Spirit
408 picks · 570 bans
Death Prophet
365 picks · 707 bans
Mars
350 picks · 586 bans
Earth Spirit
309 picks · 301 bans
Grimstroke
306 picks · 290 bans
Tusk
302 picks · 206 bans
Lion
254 picks · 138 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Electronic Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Wind and Rain
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteWind and Rain · 64%
Series resultElectronic Boys 0:1
Series predictionmissed