Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWRWing Ripperloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Elevate Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wing Ripper
No games played over 6 months.
Elevate Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
412 picks · 643 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 564 bans
Batrider
394 picks · 703 bans
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 935 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Wing Ripper
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Wing Ripper
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:40
Wing Ripper 59%Elevate Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Wing Ripper — the game was taken by Elevate Gaming in 19:29.
Game 2prediction missed16:40
Wing Ripper 59%Elevate Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Wing Ripper — the game was taken by Elevate Gaming in 25:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteWing Ripper · 59%
Series resultElevate Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2