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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 2:0
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
V-Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
mellojul · 16 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 16 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 14 games
79%
Mars
Marssignature
chshrct · 13 games
69%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Panto · 12 games
42%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Mirana
Miranasignature
yamich · 11 games
82%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
yamich · 11 games
64%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linaoften banned
hAze · 37 games
59%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 29 games
66%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 27 games
74%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
65%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 26 games
62%
Invoker
Invokersignature
hAze · 25 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 24 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 23 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
472 picks · 338 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
435 picks · 622 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
365 picks · 456 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
362 picks · 809 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
353 picks · 188 bans
46%
Kunkka
Kunkka
287 picks · 483 bans
55%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
277 picks · 421 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
255 picks · 346 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% V-Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total63% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:9
Winstrike Team 43%V-Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 41:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritLarl
52% · 224 games54% · 211 games
KunkkaTA2000
Kunkka
Visage
VisageDaxak
40% · 13 games50% · 250 games
InvokerhAze
Invoker
Mars
MarsNoticed
45% · 356 games52% · 192 games
Spirit BreakerArrOw
Spirit Breaker
Weaver
WeaverSoNNeikO
53% · 194 games42% · 40 games
Jakirolaise
Jakiro
Dark Willow
Dark Willowforcemajor
47% · 154 games54% · 248 games
Death Prophetantoha
Death Prophet
Game 2prediction missed31:8
Winstrike Team 44%V-Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 32:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinDaxak
46% · 112 games56% · 168 games
MedusaTA2000
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLarl
49% · 153 games54% · 161 game
Spirit Breakerlaise
Spirit Breaker
Mars
MarsNoticed
50% · 342 games51% · 126 games
Outworld DestroyerhAze
Outworld Destroyer
Jakiro
Jakiroforcemajor
37% · 51 game54% · 298 games
SnapfireArrOw
Snapfire
Weaver
WeaverSoNNeikO
47% · 201 game54% · 106 games
Treant Protectorantoha
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 63%
Series resultWinstrike Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2