European Pro League Season 35 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winter Bearloss 1:2series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DOGSENTwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winter Bear
Shadow Demonsignature
Delight · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
Delight · 12 games
Tusksignature
waveformn · 10 games
Marcisignature
waveformn · 9 games
Marssignature
fortniteMan · 9 games
Razorsignature
fortniteMan · 9 games
Tinysignature
waveformn · 9 games
Batridersignature
fortniteMan · 8 games
DOGSENT
Shadow Shaman
islA · 1 game
Void Spirit
islA · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
588 picks · 819 bans
Tiny
529 picks · 548 bans
Tusk
427 picks · 395 bans
Warlock
426 picks · 294 bans
Shadow Demon
389 picks · 1016 bans
Ember Spirit
384 picks · 658 bans
Mars
367 picks · 585 bans
Centaur Warrunner
349 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 25%
Hero pool strength68% Winter Bear
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Winter Bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Winter Bear 84%DOGSENT 16%
The model gave 84% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by DOGSENT.
Game 2prediction correct
Winter Bear 84%DOGSENT 16%
The model gave 84% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by Winter Bear.
Game 3prediction missed
Winter Bear 84%DOGSENT 16%
The model gave 84% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by DOGSENT.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinter Bear · 84%
Series resultDOGSENT 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3