CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winter Bearloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EGEnd Gamewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winter Bear
Phoenixsignature
Delight · 7 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Delight · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Delight · 4 games
Lion
Delight · 3 games
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Delight · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
jAMES · 2 games
Hoodwink
Delight · 2 games
End Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
556 picks · 792 bans
Muerta
451 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
439 picks · 706 bans
Phantom Assassin
416 picks · 745 bans
Clockwerk
411 picks · 402 bans
Bristleback
402 picks · 893 bans
Magnus
399 picks · 1067 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 530 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% End Game
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Winter Bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Winter Bear 59%End Game 41%
The model gave 59% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by End Game.
Game 2prediction missed
Winter Bear 59%End Game 41%
The model gave 59% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by End Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinter Bear · 59%
Series resultEnd Game 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2