Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winter Bearloss 0:2series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winter Bear
Vengeful Spirit
Stoic · 11 games
Rubick
Jeezy · 5 games
Tiny
Jeezy · 5 games
Clockwerk
Stoic · 4 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Jeezy · 4 games
Lion
Jeezy · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 4 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
344 picks · 299 bans
Centaur Warrunner
325 picks · 509 bans
Vengeful Spirit
311 picks · 292 bans
Pangolier
263 picks · 362 bans
Magnus
253 picks · 443 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 365 bans
Luna
243 picks · 221 bans
Techies
237 picks · 148 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% Winter Bear
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:23
Winter Bear 22%Entity 78%
The model gave 78% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 36:41.
Game 2prediction correct16:38
Winter Bear 22%Entity 78%
The model gave 78% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 32:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 78%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2