Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Wisla Krakowloss 1:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Hippomaniacswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
Hippomaniacs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
260 picks · 349 bans
Tidehunter
256 picks · 381 bans
Monkey King
255 picks · 581 bans
Bane
222 picks · 148 bans
Lion
217 picks · 100 bans
Void Spirit
217 picks · 249 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 256 bans
Lina
211 picks · 455 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Wisla Krakow
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Wisla Krakow
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed51:34
Wisla Krakow 60%Hippomaniacs 40%
The model gave 60% on Wisla Krakow — the game was taken by Hippomaniacs in 48:25.
Game 2prediction missed35:32
Wisla Krakow 60%Hippomaniacs 40%
The model gave 60% on Wisla Krakow — the game was taken by Hippomaniacs in 53:08.
Game 3prediction missed41:15
Wisla Krakow 60%Hippomaniacs 40%
The model gave 60% on Wisla Krakow — the game was taken by Hippomaniacs in 35:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteWisla Krakow · 60%
Series resultHippomaniacs 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3