Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
Wisla Krakowwin 1:0series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:0
LOLevel Oneloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
Level One
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
264 picks · 335 bans
Tidehunter
260 picks · 384 bans
Monkey King
247 picks · 583 bans
Void Spirit
225 picks · 251 bans
Lion
223 picks · 103 bans
Lina
221 picks · 456 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 271 bans
Bane
213 picks · 139 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Wisla Krakow
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Level One
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:30
Wisla Krakow 32%Level One 68%
The model gave 68% on Level One — the game was taken by Level One in 24:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel One · 68%
Series resultWisla Krakow 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1