Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
Wisla Krakowwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PBPRIMAL BEASTMASTERloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
PRIMAL BEASTMASTER
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 370 bans
Queen of Pain
480 picks · 578 bans
Mars
447 picks · 605 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 776 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 175 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 548 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
Wraith King
287 picks · 348 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Wisla Krakow
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% PRIMAL BEASTMASTER
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:21
Wisla Krakow 48%PRIMAL BEASTMASTER 52%
The model gave 52% on PRIMAL BEASTMASTER — the game was taken by PRIMAL BEASTMASTER in 39:04.
Model check result
Model favoritePRIMAL BEASTMASTER · 52%
Series resultWisla Krakow 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1