FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Wolf Warriorsloss 0:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ssifr00win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Warriors
No games played over 6 months.
sifr00
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
289 picks · 668 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 107 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 254 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 623 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 524 bans
Marci
244 picks · 536 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Wolf Warriors
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% sifr00
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Wolf Warriors 41%sifr00 59%
The model gave 59% on sifr00 — the game was taken by sifr00.
Model check result
Model favoritesifr00 · 59%
Series resultsifr00 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1