Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
x5 Gamingwin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NLNo Limits Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
x5 Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
No Limits Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
752 picks · 479 bans
Tusk
534 picks · 444 bans
Tiny
531 picks · 388 bans
Treant Protector
529 picks · 578 bans
Nature's Prophet
410 picks · 600 bans
Snapfire
387 picks · 266 bans
Death Prophet
376 picks · 633 bans
Ember Spirit
352 picks · 749 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% x5 Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% No Limits Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
x5 Gaming 45%No Limits Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
x5 Gaming 45%No Limits Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Limits Gaming · 55%
Series resultx5 Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2