European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs predictionXxanblloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Türkiyewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
xanbl
No games played over 6 months.
Team Türkiye
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 13 games
Lich
Stoic · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 9 games
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
Timbersawsignature
G.T.I · 8 games
Tuskoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
484 picks · 415 bans
Clockwerk
447 picks · 578 bans
Lion
427 picks · 229 bans
Batrider
424 picks · 537 bans
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 729 bans
Phoenix
411 picks · 485 bans
Pangolier
372 picks · 595 bans
Beastmaster
359 picks · 940 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% Team Türkiye
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Team Türkiye
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
xanbl 34%Team Türkiye 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Türkiye — the game was taken by Team Türkiye.
Game 2prediction correct
xanbl 34%Team Türkiye 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Türkiye — the game was taken by Team Türkiye.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Türkiye · 66%
Series resultTeam Türkiye 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2