BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
XERXIAloss 1:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
NANeon Atomicloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Atomic
Silencer
Hated · 3 games
Tiny
JG · 2 games
Tusk
JG · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hated · 1 game
Disruptor
Hated · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
JG · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Hated · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
JG · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
368 picks · 579 bans
Undying
326 picks · 568 bans
Tiny
316 picks · 208 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 464 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 331 bans
Enigma
225 picks · 730 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
Death Prophet
207 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 25%
Hero pool strength51% XERXIA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:12
XERXIA 60%Neon Atomic 40%
The model gave 60% on XERXIA — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 35:00.
Game 2prediction missed47:20
XERXIA 60%Neon Atomic 40%
The model gave 60% on XERXIA — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 40:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 60%
Accuracy by game0 of 2