BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
XERXIAwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Reaperloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Reaper
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
402 picks · 399 bans
Tiny
370 picks · 368 bans
Rubick
361 picks · 247 bans
Mirana
292 picks · 298 bans
Treant Protector
235 picks · 285 bans
Snapfire
226 picks · 118 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 145 bans
Ember Spirit
196 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)15% vs 25%
Hero pool strength50% XERXIA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
XERXIA 75%Reaper 25%
The model gave 75% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA.
Game 2prediction correct
XERXIA 75%Reaper 25%
The model gave 75% on XERXIA — the game was taken by XERXIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 75%
Series resultXERXIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2